Brett,

Here's the NCDC Global Analysis for October:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2007/oct/global.html

And here's the U.S. analysis to which you referred:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2007/oct/national.html

Thanks Travis!

Sixth warmest on RECORD! Wait, why not first? With all of this CO2 in the atmosphere, how is it that we still haven't seen first yet?

I'm still waiting for a year where the global temperature is number one on record, followed by the very next year being warmer, and the third year being warmer than second and the fourth year being warmer than third. You know, a sequencial trend.

If you replace drafty windows in your home with energy efficient ones, you will see an immediate and obvious difference in your energy bill. Those windows are trapping more heat. All of this CO2 should be trapping heat, acting like invisible insulation if you will. Yet this huge spike in CO2 emmission over the past 50 years has resulted in 0 (zero) record setting years/trends, indicating that CO2 is causing warming EACH and EVERY YEAR in succession. Why not? Can someone please explain this to me.

Cold spring weather in the southern hemisphere driving commodities prices up.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/feedarticle?id=7080985

Buenos Aires has been more than five degrees below normal this month.
http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/SABE/2007/11/16/MonthlyHistory.html

Nice graphs,

Both hemispheres show steady cooling over the last 10 years. Satellite troposphere data shows the same trends.
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/community/2007/oct.gif

Also, it looks like the 1970s ice age has been disappeared. These graphs are quite different from the NCAR graph in the 1975 Newsweek article, which showed a sharp 0.6 degree drop in temperature. I wonder how they managed to rewrite NCAR history?
http://www.glennbeck.com/2006news/newsweek-coolingworld.pdf

Speaking of the ice age scare, this is what they said in 1975. Sound familiar?

Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay it's effects ...... an increase in extremes of local weather such as droughts, floods, extended dry spells

They were seriously considering dumping soot on the Arctic to stop the ice age in 1975.

Al Gore is determined not to let the manbearpig get away this time. What a bunch of comedians. Monty Python couldn't make up material any more ridiculous.

Brett,

I have often thought, when I see near record setting temperature anomolies reported on, that it would be instructive to know in what years the other records were set. If October, 2007 is the sixth warmest on record, when did the other five warmest Octobers occur?

Reply: I did not have time to look it up today John, but I will try to do so this weekend. Brett

Thanks

Oh No... Not the big red dots again!!

Ii hate those things..LOL

Reply: Darren, I hate those dot maps as well, but now we are stuck with them. Brett.

Yeah. This October was the warmest I can remember! I love winter but it was FANTASTIC! I was working outside with shorts on, mowing grass, and enjoying an extra month of summer! Bring on the late winters!

"Big Oil" Paying Off Climate Scientists:
An Insider's Story

(Katy, TX - Nov. 11) Many environmentalists have long suspected that "Big Oil" pays a small cadre of climate scientists to perform and publish bogus research, as well as spread disinformation regarding the state of the science of global warming and climate change. But according to one administrative assistant who was recently let go from her employer, what is already known by watchdog groups like Greenpeace and ExxonSecrets.org might be just the tip of the iceberg.

http://www.ecoenquirer.com/big-oil-paying-climate-scientists.htm

Thanks for this, Brett. It's extremely useful for those of us having to fire back at the ideologically driven climate "science" that's popping up all over the place. The latest was in Utah when a think tank published an anti-climate op-ed, but the rebuttal letter, written by a physicist and former Air Force meteorologist, was excellent. Worth a read.

You can get to it here: http://solveclimate.com/blog/20071116/climate-deniers-embarrassed-again-time-utah

Thanks!
http://www.solveclimate.com

The base period is 1961 - 90? Couldn't they find a colder base period?

One more amazing comment from the 1975 ice age panic.

Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend... But they are almost unanimous in their view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century. If the climatic change is as profound as some pessimists believe, the resulting famines could be catastrophic
http://www.glennbeck.com/2006news/newsweek-coolingworld.pdf

Do any of these words sound familiar? I'm laughing so hard I'm going to have to step out of the office....

RANDY . GILPIN BETTER WATCH IT ON BLOCK ISLAND R.I WAS ONE OF THE 6 ON RECORD. READ STORY ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING.
STEVE

If anybody from Big Oil is reading this: can you guys (and gals) please send over some money? I have been skeptical of AGW for a while, without getting paid at all, surely by now I must have earned the right for a couple of checks?

Hi Guys,

Rich makes a good point. I believe that the warmest years are in the 1930s, only 70+ years ago. We most likely wont see the warmest since it has actually been no warming and a bit of cooling lately. See the NASA link below shows that the 25th may be the weakest solar cycle in the few hundred years (oh no not a little iceage again). How many sun spots are there ummm 0. It is funny how they always start the baseline in the 1970s. Why don't they do it in the 1940s BEFORE it cooled. Darren M. revel in the warmth while you can because it may be getting cool again and Patrick can repost that iceage article so it fits again. HEY if CO2 is such a good insulator why don't they use it in storm windows? All that warming in the windows should keep the heat from escaping right? Oh shoot thats right CO2 is logarithmic in its ability to hold heat-- darn.

http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10may_longrange.htm

"Why not? Can someone please explain this to me."

The interannual variation in the climate system is greater than the year to year increase in the global energy budget, hence records are not expected every year.

I'm dismayed by how little things change around here. I choose not to respond to the obviously provocative comments here, but I do want to answer John Thompson's question:

If October, 2007 is the sixth warmest on record, when did the other five warmest Octobers occur?

Looking at the global land and sea bar chart, it looks looks like October 2003 was warmest, followed by 2005, 1997, 2006, 2004, and 2007 in that order. So with the exception of 1997, all have occurred in the past 5 years. Here's the chart:

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/community/2007/oct.gif

Reply: Travis, thanks for doing the investigative work for me on that one. Appreciate it. Brett.

And since provocative comments seem to be the norm today, here's one:

Global land surface temperatures for the year-to-date are the warmest on record. Not only that, it's the warmest year ever in the Northern Hemisphere for land and sea combined.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2007/oct/global.html#year-to-date

Note, however, that this comment can not be disputed unless someone here decides to attack the credibility of the data being used. If this is the case, I can not help them.

RICH,

Any extended period with temperature records set yearly is highly unlikely due to the effect of the natural variations of global climate. We had back-to-back record-setting years in 1997 and 1998 because of a strong El Nino, followed by the two coolest years since, which involved at mild-to-moderate La Nina. Each year since the 1999-2000 La Nina (through October) has been above the 1997 record.

solveclimate.com?
You've got to be kidding. Here's one of their solutions to AGW.

"Sign a Global Treaty
Time to transform America's international posture -- from obstructionist to global leader. Lead by example -- China, India & the rest will follow."

Oh, of course they will.
What a frighteningly naive statement. I can't believe an adult came up with it.
For anyone wondering why AGW is being pushed so hard, this is a perfect example. It's become an industry.

mrsund,

Changing the base doesn't alter the yearly temperature data. If the base was in a cooler period, we would see more red on the chart. If the base was 1997-2006, we would see almost no red. What would not change is the fact that the past eleven years have seen the warmest global temperatures on record.

Great analysis Brett. You get paid big buck to put �sixth highest October� in the same paragraph with �GW�, and that is supposed to mean something? I am 62 years old and live in Texas; this is the coolest summer I can remember. Can�t see my blue dot on your graph.
John Swenson

John, I posted your summer blue dot a while ago. I did not say it meant something. I am just relaying the NOAA data results.

There is something rather strange with those maps.

First, they do not appear easy to interpret. Compare http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2007/oct/map-land-sfc-mntp-200710-pg.gif showing global anomaly with 1961-1990 base period to http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2007/oct/avgtemp.dfn-200710.gif showing US anomaly with 1971-2000 base period.

Why couldn't they use the same base periods, I do not know.

Also there is something strange in the data. Argentina has experience quite a cool year, yet it mostly gets red dots in the global map.

The values for Australia are peculiar too, as those red dots in the map do not appear to correspond to what one can read at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's website http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/silo/reg/cli_chg/timeseries.cgi

Anomalies appear mostly confined with 1C in the BOM's data, but shoot to values higher than 2C in the NCDC's

The "the 1975 ice age panic", again?

Is this canard about the alleged ice age prediction on the contrarian/denier talking-point list for the week?

Patrick Henry has cited a Newsweek article. If our friend claims that Newsweek is an unreliable source for scientific information, he'll get no complaint from most of the scientists I know, and certainly none from me. Similarly, he could be citing this as an example of why meteorology is not necessarily a reliable source of climatological information.

Somehow, I doubt that he intended to make either implication. I invite Patrick Henry to follow up the references cited in this piece and see what the authors actually wrote. It shouldn't be too hard -- "Dr. Murray Mitchell" (NOAA), "George Kukla" (Columbia University), even Reid Bryson!

The same Reid Bryson described HERE as an AGW skeptic! What's the deal?

You don't suppose Patrick Henry and our contrarians are trying to have it both ways, do you?

I note that the strongest editorial comment -- "The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality" is not attributed and appears to be opinion of "Peter Gwynne" -- a Newsweek writer.

I wonder how the right wing would have handled this piece if it had come from Dan Rather.

iceman:
solveclimate.com? LOL.. I went to the site linked at the end of the Oid funding farce and found amound other rediculus chaff article about:

Polar Bears "Dropping Like Flies" From Heat Exhaustion
[ Picture of poor polar bear being cuddled by hunter - heart renching ]
Hunter Jeremiah Johnson comforts a polar bear that had collapsed from heat exhaustion before he could shoot it.
(Cold Bay, Alaska) Warming temperatures in polar regions are causing an increasing number of polar bears to collapse from heat exhaustion, local hunters report.
Very Credible sites. hahahaha!

Hi BT,

Here is some more comedy for you-

Prof. Hansen and his colleagues argue that rapidly melting ice caps in Antarctica and Greenland could cause oceans to swell several metres by 2100 - or maybe even as much as 25 metres
http://www.physics.utoronto.ca/news_repository/will-oceans-surge-59-centimetres-this-century-or-25-metres

25 meters is pretty impressive. That is nearly one inch a month. If Hansen has his way, Brookline will be history soon - but Colorado will be a just a little closer to the beach.

Pristine Alaskan Glacier Turns Into Tropical Wasteland

Few places on Earth have suffered the ravages of global warming more than Alaska. While recent news reports have highlighted accounts of the native Inuits' snowmobiles falling through the ice, threatening their traditional way of life, there are isolated parts of Alaska have been completely transformed by global warming.

Possibly the most frightening example of this climate catastrophe that continues to unfold before the eyes of humanity is the case of Frosty Cove, Alaska. Once dominated by a pristine ice field, with a slowly advancing glacier dumping its frigid cargo into the sea, the Cove's original beauty has been forever lost.

http://www.ecoenquirer.com/Frosty-Cove-Alaska.htm

residents in Argentina and Brazil are wondering if this winter will ever end. Buenos Aires recorded this Thursday (November 15th) the lowest November temperature in 90 years. Temperature in the Downtown weather station reached 2.5C. Since records began more than a century ago, only two days had colder lows in November. It was in 1914 (1.6) and 1917 (2.4). And ninety years ago the urban heat island effect was much less pronounced than nowadays. In Brazil's southernmost province Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil temperatures fell to 2.3C. In Sao Joaquim Monday's (Nov., 12) the temperature was -1.2 C with frost.

http://my.telegraph.co.uk/reasonmclucus/november_2007/al_gore_wrong_again.htm

I just spoke with five lovely Irish Ladies visiting NYC, theey said Ireland has had NO SUMMER this year, COLD and WET and .....we