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Senior meteorologist with 18 years of experience at AccuWeather.
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Headline: Earth
Headline: Earth™:
Katie Fehlinger hosts Headline: Earth, which takes an unbiased look at all sides of the global warming debate. The weekly show features the latest headlines related to global warming, along with interviews of prominent and newsworthy guests, including global warming legislation advocate and chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW), Senator (D) Barbara Boxer of California and global warming skeptic and former EPW chairman, Senator (R) James Inhofe of Oklahoma. Visit Headline: Earth's video page to see any or all of Katie's videos.


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« May 2, 2008 | Main | May 6, 2008 »

May 5, 2008 Archives

May 5, 2008

Predictions, Predictions, Predictions!

Over the past week we have heard all the stories about the recent demise of global warming or the idea that global warming will be taking an extended vacation before returning. Late last year, we heard that Arctic summers could be ice-free by 2013, but now we have heard that there is the chance that could happen as early as this summer. Who do you believe? I remain skeptical with a lot of these studies, either pro-warming or not, but I keep an open mind when I read these reports, knowing that some of these predictions could indeed end up having the right idea. We just do not really know for sure yet since there are so many variables to consider when you are talking climate, never mind a 5-day forecast. Anyway, here is a listing, along with links to some of the more noteworthy climate change predictions over the past several years. You can see how ideas change over a period of time as scientists try to gain more information.

"If there's one thing we know about science, it changes, it evolves, it's counterintuitive, and we learn things we didn't expect before." From Roger Pielke Jr, science policy specialist from the University of Colorado.

This "small" sampling is in no particular order..........

5/1/08....Next decade may see no warming due to changes in ocean currents. link

4/30/08....Warming to level off through 2014 mostly due to ENSO then surge thereafter. link Note: this is the same story as the one on the bottom.

4/28/08....We could reach the global warming tipping point within 2-3 decades. link

11/15/07.....Climate change accelerating, scientists warn. link.

01/03/08.....2008 will be one of the top ten warmest globally since 1850. link.

12/07/07......Rising CO2 will lead to wetter storms in the northern hemisphere. link.

12/21/07....More than 400 scientists cast doubt that man-made global warming threatens the planet. link.

01/23/08....Warming oceans reducing the # of landfalling U.S. Hurricanes. link.

03/04/08........Famous hurricane forecaster predicts global cooling in 10 years. link.

04/23/08.......Prepare for an ice age. link.

02/12/08......Sea level rise could be twice as high as current projections. link.

08/31/07.......Global warming will bring violent storms and tornadoes. link.

03/27/08.......Expect more warming of extreme temperatures. link.

07/25/07....Huge sea level rises are coming unless we act now! link.

10/3/07.....Earth will only heat up 8/10 of a degree over the next 100 years and the sun is the
major driver of this increase. link.

08/10/07.......Global warming will speed up after 2009. link.

04/30/08........Global warming will stop until at least 2015. link.

04/29/08.......PDO flip could mean cooler times for the West Coast. link.

05/19/03....New model predicts greater 21st century warming. link.

10/01/03....Solar contribution to global warming predicted to decrease. link.

09/16/06.....Scientists predict solar downturn, global cooling. link.

03/20/03..... Sun's Output Increasing in Possible Trend Fueling Global Warming. link.

11/06/97......Brightening sun is warming earth. link.

04/14/08....Warming will mean fewer, but more powerful tropical cyclones. link.

08/26/06....Russian scientist predicts global cooling in coming decades then a warmer interval. link.

04/29/07.....Humans are to blame for global warming. Easrth will warm 3.2 to 7.1 F by 2100 with sea level increase of 7 to 23 inches, according to IPCC. link.

05/11/07.....Eastern U.S. will face severe heat by 2080. link.

01/31/07....Sydney, Australia will see a 9 degree celsius increase in temp. by 2070. link.

08/13/07.....Expect CONTINUED warming over the next 10 years. (UK Met office). link.

04/27/08....Ten-year forecasts produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre CAPTURE this LEVELLING of global temperatures in the middle of this decade. From the article "Is global warming all over?" link.

Note: The above doesn't seem to jive with what they (UK Met) said in August of 2007 (see second paragraph from the bottom).


Anyway, I know there were a lot more predictions that put out there, but it has been a long day and I am tired. Good night.