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Senior meteorologist with 18 years of experience at AccuWeather.
[ Bio ]

Headline: Earth
Headline: Earth™:
Katie Fehlinger hosts Headline: Earth, which takes an unbiased look at all sides of the global warming debate. The weekly show features the latest headlines related to global warming, along with interviews of prominent and newsworthy guests, including global warming legislation advocate and chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW), Senator (D) Barbara Boxer of California and global warming skeptic and former EPW chairman, Senator (R) James Inhofe of Oklahoma. Visit Headline: Earth's video page to see any or all of Katie's videos.


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« Global Sea Level Changes over the Past 15 Years | Main

September 5, 2008

Update on Global Satellite Temperatures for August

Here is the latest Remote Sensing Systems global temperature anomaly image for August, using microwave sounding units mounted on NOAA satellites, which measures the temperature of the lower troposphere.

August 2008.

Observations.....

1. Well above the 1979-1998 mean from Hudson Bay, Canada to west of Greenland and also over northern Siberia.
2. Cool compared to normal once again over Alaska and also over Australia.


For fun comparison, here is the image from August, 1998 (Strong El Nino year).

And August, 1988 (That was a very hot/dry summer in the Eastern U.S. as I recall)


Actual statistics for August, 2008

Global land/sea temperature anomaly: +0.146 K

Northern Hemispheric temperature anomaly: +0.315 K

Arctic region temperature anomaly (60N to 82.5 N): +0.935 K

Year so far globally.......+0.041 K by my calculations

Acknowledgement

MSU/AMSU data are produced by Remote Sensing Systems and sponsored by the NOAA Climate and Global Change Program. Data are available at www.remss.com

---------------------------------------------

Update (UAH data)...................

The University of Alabama at Huntsville has posted their latest global temperature anomaly map for August. These are measured against the 20-year average from 1979-1998.

UAH also gathers their data through microwave sounding units on NOAA satellites, but their version covers more of the polar regions compared to RSS.

Here are the UAH temperature anomaly results for August, but they are still preliminary.

Global: -0.01 C or -0.02 F
Northern Hemisphere: +0.17 C or +0.31 F
Southern Hemisphere: -).19 C or -0.34 F

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Comments (12)

Patrick Henry:

Brett,

The headline implies that RSS is the only satellite data. Because RSS has almost no coverage of Antarctica, their numbers are higher than UAH - which may well come in below normal for August.

Reply: sorry if that implies it. PH, I know you follow UAH closely, let me know when the official numbers come in. I will cover it.


From The Desk of The Flat Earth Philistine:

Gee. Those temperatures are really on the increase, aren't they? 2008 really looks hotter than 1998 and 1988, right? Mark? Are you there? Hello?

DENY DENY DENY THE GLO-BULL WARMING LIE!!!!!!!

Emiliano:

A pretty warm month.
However, noticeably colder here in Mid-southern South America than July.
It doesn't say much about climate, tho.

loub:

brett-none of these anomoly maps surprise me

aug 2008 i look at maps daily-even though this is not a daily phenomenom it still appeared to be the dominant pattern this summer high pressure over georgia-fla-offshore se coastal states and low pressure sentered over so canada above minnesota-the perfect engine to get gulf air to the arctic

aug 1998 remember the stong el nino well storms every 36 hours well spaced so no major flooding but i believe our 2nd greatest rainfall season ever-have photos i took of funnel cloud in bay area especially a rarity

aut 1988 remember reports of record 100 plus days throughout midwest i was trading commodities then watching trough and ridge patterns to see if drought and heat would break. as i recall things were looking optimistic that the drought and heat would break but then the pattern backed up for three days before continuing eastward and eventually rains came and the soybeans and corn returned to normal prices

thanks for the trip down memory lane brett

reply:thanks for your memories Lou.

Bill Marsh:

ASU raw data shows August was .16 C cooler than August 2008. Not sure what adjustments are applied to those.

Kipp Alpert:

Emiliano
How ya doing. Have you read the new IPCC report. This is a Global problem. Not you, but some people always like to give their own weather report in their part of the country, and forget that we are living on a planet. There are a lot of problems on the Earth, like CO2 sequestration, Islands being flooded to extinction. No these Islands are not sinking. The water is rising due to Ice sheets melting, Glaciers melting, and for the first time in human History both passages, at the same time, in the Arctic are open. One has been open, but not both north and south at the same time. I care less about how cold it is in Pennsylvania this year. Look at the Cryosphere web site and see how much Ice has melted in the Arctic since 1980. Indigenous people of the Arctic have already planned to move out in two years. Thousands of scientists are working today on ways to deal with the excess CO2. Things are happening more rapidly then models predicted and that is the only problem with the IPCC. It's too conservative.
Thanks, KIPP

Kipp Alpert:

Chris B: Thanks for your comeback on our time lag.
The nature of blogs doesn't help. I'm sure if we actually got to talk, our differences would be small.
You mentioed the other question about water vapor. "Greenhouse gases do not "absorb" heat. They make the atmosphere less transparent to the infrared."
I think it perfectly acceptable to say that CO2 absorbs heat. Infrared radiation that would otherwise pass through an atmosphere goes in one side (here the bottom) and does not come out the top. It has been "absorbed". The energy of the IR is transferred to the CO2 molecules causing them to tumble faster, and this transfers some of the energy formerly in the IR radiation to the other gases in the atmosphere by the collisions. They then move faster. This is commonly called being warmer. If anyone thinks that the transfer of IR energy into the earth's atmosphere will not result in any change, they should explanation as to just what they think happens to that extra energy. Gas molecules absorb long IR and microwave energy when they tumble. CO2, does this. So does methane (CH4) and water vapor (H2O). These gases in the air adsorb IR energy that the earth would otherwise radiate into space. They act like a blanket. To answer your question, water vapor is the perfect absorber of heat. You said 80% of the troposphere is water vapor. Let me ask you. Where do you think water vapor goes. Warmer water vapor. Ask any Englishman this year, if they got any rain?
Thanks, KIPP

PaulB:

Oh No ....can it be? Something other than CO2?

Asia pollution may boost U.S. temperatures

Smog, soot and other particles like the kind often seen hanging over Beijing add to global warming and may raise summer temperatures in the American heartland by three degrees in about 50 years, says a new federal science report released Thursday

And I thought the science was settled!

Sorta makes ya think ...... doesn't it?

Patrick Henry:

Brett,

I will you know about UAH. I do remember a lot about August, 1988 out west.

After getting 5 numbers correct in the Arizona lottery and collecting my $200 prize, I drove to West Texas where I camped in 30 degree weather. A freak cold front came through and left incredibly clear skies. The starlight was bright enough to read a book.

In September I was in Houston when category 5 Hurricane Gilbert was expected to hit. That was the second most intense hurricane on record and though it didn't make a direct hit, spawned about 30 tornadoes in Texas.

Brian D:

Here's some numbers for Jan-Aug for the past 30yrs using RSS global anomalies averaged for these months.Also ENSO during these months.

1979 -0.219* neutral
1980 +0.050 neutral
1981 +0.031* neutral
1982 -0.202* neutral to strong El Nino
1983 +0.059 very strong El Nino to neutral
1984 -0.207* neutral
1985 -0.309* moderate to weak La Nina
1986 -0.165* neutral to weak El Nino
1987 +0.087 moderate to strong El Nino
1988 +0.134 weak El Nino to moderate La Nina
1989 -0.174* strong La Nina to neutral
1990 +0.014* neutral
1991 +0.189 neutral to moderate El Nino
1992 -0.147* strong El Nino to neutral
1993 -0.134* neutral
1994 +0.037* neutral to weak El Nino
1995 +0.191 moderate El Nino to weak La Nina
1996 +0.050 weak La Nina to neutral
1997 +0.044 neutral to very strong El Nino
1998 +0.671 very strong El Nino to mod La Nina
1999 +0.096 moderate La Nina
2000 +0.071 strong La Nina to neutral
2001 +0.224 weak La Nina to neutral
2002 +0.380 neutral to moderate El Nino
2003 +0.321 moderate El Nino to neutral
2004 +0.258 neutral to weak El Nino
2005 +0.389 weak El Nino to neutral
2006 +0.278 neutral to weak El Nino
2007 +0.364 weak El Nino to weak La Nina
2008 +0.042 moderate La Nina to neutral

Reply: Wow! You really did your homework on this one.

You have to go back to 1997 to get a similiar average anomaly. Astericks indicate colder years(Jan-Aug) than this one.
Here's a nice graph of eruptions and their SO2 emissions from 1979-2003.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f2/TOMS_SO2_time_nov03.png/800px-TOMS_SO2_time_nov03.png

Patrick Henry:

Here is why RSS data is too high. They miss almost all of the anomalous cold in Antarctica.
http://climate.uah.edu/august2008.htm

Chances are that UAH will come in below normal for August, and it also becomes clear why UAH is the best data source. They don't have the -90S to -70S latitude hole which RSS suffers from.


Travis:

Brett, Patrick,

The UAH report for August has been released. The detailed numbers are not yet available as of yet, but should be soon. Do with it what you will.

http://climate.uah.edu/august2008.htm

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